News Related To The Ukraine / Russian War

"This should be another obvious clue." R5 #198
Agreed.

"The Ukraine had no navy and no drone at all before the US started bribing and arming them." R5 #198
I have zero information on Ukraine's military posture, zero information on:
- number of Ukrainian troops, active & reserve
- arsenal
- per capita ammunition
- many etc

The anecdote I've retained is that Ukraine surrendered its Soviet nukes on the promise of security guarantees, which Russia has violated.

"The Ukraine had no navy and no drone at all before the US started bribing and arming them." R5 #198
Why would Ukraine need that? Did it not have an non-aggression agreement with Russia? Why would Ukraine squander scarce resources on arms it doesn't need, when it can instead build roads, schools, hospitals?

"So this is not a war between the Ukraine and Russia, but a proxy war between the US and Russia.
The ethnic Polish in Kyiv are totally using US weapons and there are hundreds of US trainers in the Ukraine." R5 #198
Seems like a non sequitur to me.
It's naïve to assume it's 100% one explanation, and zero% the other. Vastly more likely to be a combination.

The U.S. is a major global arms exporter. Does that mean ANY time ANY nation conflicts with those U.S. made arms, it's a "proxy war"?

And even if it meets the definition of "proxy war", does that render those in Ukraine murdered by Russian or North Korean troops any less dead?
 
"This is not something Russia has any choice about.
The ethnic Polish generals in Kyiv tried to prevent Russia access to Sevastopol, which Russia could not allow.
The ethnic Polish generals encouraged the Azov Battalion of racist/fascists to start murdering tens of thousands of natives who had Russian accents.
The ethnic Polish generals tried to put NATO nukes on Russia's border.
In 2022, the ethnic Polish general severed all communications with Moscow, ending any further possible negotiations." R5 #200
Not clear to me how meeting Putin's terms will solve these problems you cite.

"In both wars, the Ukraine and Palestine, the point is to find out what changed to start the violence." R5 #200
For Israel it was the attack of October 7, 2023.

For Ukraine it was the Russian invasion of February 24, 2022.

"In Palestine, it was Menachem Begin blowing up the British peacekeepers so no one could stop Irgun, Stern, and Lehi from wiping out hundreds of native villages like Deir Yassin.
In the Ukraine, it was Hunter Biden delivering bribes to the ethnic Polish generals, for the Maidan Coup of 2014." R5 #200
I understand cause-&-effect. If you say Biden bribing Polish generals in 2014 resulted in Russia invading Ukraine in 2022 so be it.

How does that get us any closer to ending the carnage there now?
How long do you suppose it will be before one side or another (or other) strikes a nuclear facility in Ukraine, and we end up with Chernobyl 2.0 ? Putin has already rattled the nuclear sabre.
 
Agreed.


I have zero information on Ukraine's military posture, zero information on:
- number of Ukrainian troops, active & reserve
- arsenal
- per capita ammunition
- many etc

The anecdote I've retained is that Ukraine surrendered its Soviet nukes on the promise of security guarantees, which Russia has violated.


Why would Ukraine need that? Did it not have an non-aggression agreement with Russia? Why would Ukraine squander scarce resources on arms it doesn't need, when it can instead build roads, schools, hospitals?


Seems like a non sequitur to me.
It's naïve to assume it's 100% one explanation, and zero% the other. Vastly more likely to be a combination.

The U.S. is a major global arms exporter. Does that mean ANY time ANY nation conflicts with those U.S. made arms, it's a "proxy war"?

And even if it meets the definition of "proxy war", does that render those in Ukraine murdered by Russian or North Korean troops any less dead?

Small point, but the Ukraine never had any nukes of its own.
Those were Russian nukes only the Russians had launch codes to, and it was the Russians who removed them.
That was an advantage to the Ukraine, since then they were no longer targeted by the US.
So then you have the security guarantees backwards.
It was the Ukraine who owed Russia for their removal.

And it was the Ukraine who deliberately violated all of the treaty conditions.

And the US was simply not a seller of arms to the Ukraine, but instead gave the Ukraine hundreds of billions worth of arms.
That is not at all normal or common, and highly suspicious.
In fact, it is highly unlikely the Ukrainians could have been trained so quickly, and it likely was US operators of those missiles, drones, etc.
 
Not clear to me how meeting Putin's terms will solve these problems you cite.


For Israel it was the attack of October 7, 2023.

For Ukraine it was the Russian invasion of February 24, 2022.


I understand cause-&-effect. If you say Biden bribing Polish generals in 2014 resulted in Russia invading Ukraine in 2022 so be it.

How does that get us any closer to ending the carnage there now?
How long do you suppose it will be before one side or another (or other) strikes a nuclear facility in Ukraine, and we end up with Chernobyl 2.0 ? Putin has already rattled the nuclear sabre.


All that has to be done to end the war in the Ukraine is uphold the treaties.
The Ukraine has to stop murdering ethnic Russian natives of the Ukraine, stop arming with US weapons, and stop trying to join NATO or the EU.

The Oct 7th attack in Palestine was long overdue and more than justified.
Not only have 6 million illegal immigrants from Poland and Russia stolen 90% of Palestine from the 13 million natives, but they have been imposing a starvation blockade on the natives for decades.
The UN should have ruled against the illegal immigrants and kicked them out in 1946 when they murdered the British peacekeepers.

There are 4 nuclear facilities in the Ukraine, and for some reason Russia has not touched any utilities.
If I were Putin, the first thing I would have done is cut off all electricity and water.
That would have forced a surrender in a week.
I do not understand why Putin is being so delicate?
 
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"Small point, but the Ukraine never had any nukes of its own." R5 #203
"Small" perhaps, but relevant.
" Ukraine surrendered its Soviet nukes " s #201
I'm not basing this on inside information. I'm basing it on logic.
Whose nukes they were is immaterial. "Possession is nine-tenths of the law"
I'm guessing, perhaps groundlessly, Ukraine didn't want the weapons, Ukraine wanted the security.

"Those were Russian nukes only the Russians had launch codes to, and it was the Russians who removed them." R5 #203
Precisely as I thought.
Starting up a viable nuclear missile program from scratch is expensive.
Ukraine had a BARGAIN on its hands, IF it had wanted.
EACH of the obstacles you cite is correct. BUT !
Compare the cost of rebuilding the former Soviet nukes to Ukraine's specifications would probably cost a minuscule fraction of what building Ukrainian nukes from scratch would have cost.

"That was an advantage to the Ukraine, since then they were no longer targeted by the US.
So then you have the security guarantees backwards.
It was the Ukraine who owed Russia for their removal." R5 #203
That might seem plausible, IF Russia took them back grudgingly. There's another possibility.
Russia may have preferred to repatriate her nukes positioned in Ukraine, thereby leaving Russia's next-door neighbor Ukraine without the defense, so that in the future Russia could invade Ukraine, without risk of nuclear defense.

"So then you have the security guarantees backwards." R5 #203
The bully doesn't need security guarantees from the pacifist.
It's the pacifist that needs security guarantees from the bully.

"And it was the Ukraine who deliberately violated all of the treaty conditions." R5 #203
Perhaps.
But Putin, BBC, Aljazeera, NYT, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, CNN, FOX, AP & others have suppressed that information with consummate perfection.

"And the US was simply not a seller of arms to the Ukraine, but instead gave the Ukraine hundreds of billions worth of arms.
That is not at all normal or common, and highly suspicious.
In fact, it is highly unlikely the Ukrainians could have been trained so quickly, and it likely was US operators of those missiles, drones, etc." R5 #203
Since Reagan / Iran-Contra I'd believe it.
None the less, not in the least clear to me how the carnage in Ukraine today is going to remedy reckless extraordinary U.S. military largess of years past.

I confess R5, you have me wondering.
Skimming a little off the top here or there can get lost in the weeds.
"A million here, a million there; pretty soon you're talking real money." Everett Dirksen
"the US ... gave the Ukraine hundreds of billions worth of arms." R5 #203
That's an awful lot of money.
Difficult to imagine that in the ruthless partisan tensions at the capitol, that sufficient fuss over this would not have called it to public attention.

If nothing else, OMB should have caught it.
And we have NATO allies that would have been offended by this.

If you have a URL or two, we can try to piece a coherent picture together. But at this point something seems amiss to me here.
 
"Small" perhaps, but relevant.

I'm not basing this on inside information. I'm basing it on logic.
Whose nukes they were is immaterial. "Possession is nine-tenths of the law"
I'm guessing, perhaps groundlessly, Ukraine didn't want the weapons, Ukraine wanted the security.


Precisely as I thought.
Starting up a viable nuclear missile program from scratch is expensive.
Ukraine had a BARGAIN on its hands, IF it had wanted.
EACH of the obstacles you cite is correct. BUT !
Compare the cost of rebuilding the former Soviet nukes to Ukraine's specifications would probably cost a minuscule fraction of what building Ukrainian nukes from scratch would have cost.


That might seem plausible, IF Russia took them back grudgingly. There's another possibility.
Russia may have preferred to repatriate her nukes positioned in Ukraine, thereby leaving Russia's next-door neighbor Ukraine without the defense, so that in the future Russia could invade Ukraine, without risk of nuclear defense.


The bully doesn't need security guarantees from the pacifist.
It's the pacifist that needs security guarantees from the bully.


Perhaps.
But Putin, BBC, Aljazeera, NYT, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, CNN, FOX, AP & others have suppressed that information with consummate perfection.


Since Reagan / Iran-Contra I'd believe it.
None the less, not in the least clear to me how the carnage in Ukraine today is going to remedy reckless extraordinary U.S. military largess of years past.

I confess R5, you have me wondering.
Skimming a little off the top here or there can get lost in the weeds.


That's an awful lot of money.
Difficult to imagine that in the ruthless partisan tensions at the capitol, that sufficient fuss over this would not have called it to public attention.

If nothing else, OMB should have caught it.
And we have NATO allies that would have been offended by this.

If you have a URL or two, we can try to piece a coherent picture together. But at this point something seems amiss to me here.

You miss the point, which is that it was the presence of Russian nukes in the Ukraine that caused the insecurity for the Ukraine.
By having Russian nukes in the Ukraine, that meant the Ukraine would be targeted by the US, if anything happened.
And these nuke were never possessed by the Ukraine.
The maintenance and launch crews were always only Russian, even after the USSR broke up.
There is no way the Ukraine could have reverse engineered these Russian nukes enough to be able to ever maintain them, much less launch them.

The treaty violations that amounted to acts of war by the ethnic Polish generals was well documented.
First of all, the attempt to block Russian use of Sevastopol in 2014.
There were also lots of verified massacres, like when the ethnic Polish generals had 50 ethnic Russian protestors burned alive in the Odessa Trade Center in 2014.
It was the ethnic Polish generals who violated the treaties by repeatedly trying to put NATO nukes on Russia's border.
Then it is clear that Zelensky is the one who cut all communications off with Moscow in 2022, essentially an act of war.

Here is more on just some of the violence against the ethic Russian natives in the Ukraine.
{...
In early 2014, there were clashes between rival groups of protestors in the Ukrainian city of Odesa, during the pro-Russian unrest that followed the Ukrainian Revolution.
The street clashes were between pro-unity (and pro-European) protesters (as well as football fans) and anti-government (anti-Maidan), pro-Russian protesters. Violence erupted on 2 May, when a 'United Ukraine' rally was attacked by pro-Russian separatists. Stones, petrol bombs and gunfire were exchanged; two pro-Ukraine activists and four pro-Russia activists were shot dead in the clashes. The pro-Ukraine protesters then moved to dismantle a pro-Russian protest camp in Kulykove Pole, causing some pro-Russian activists to barricade themselves in the nearby Trade Unions House. Shots were fired by both sides, and the pro-Ukraine protesters attempted to storm the building, which caught fire as the two groups threw petrol bombs at each other.

The clashes resulted in deaths of 48 people, 46 of whom were anti-Maidan/pro-Russian activists.
42 of the victims died in the Trade Unions House fire, and 200 were injured.
The events were the bloodiest civil conflict in the region since the Odessa Bolshevik uprising of 1918.
Although several alleged perpetrators were charged, there has yet to be a trial.
There are allegations that some police colluded with pro-Russian activists in the initial street clashes.
In 2015, the International Advisory Panel of the Council of Europe concluded that the investigation's independence was hampered by "evidence indicative of police complicity",
and that authorities failed to thoroughly investigate the events.
An ECHR ruling in March 2025 found Ukraine responsible for failing to prevent fatalities and conduct an effective investigation into the events.
The Court ordered the Ukrainian state to pay a total of €114,700 in compensation to survivors and victims' families.
...}

Here is just what the US gov will admit we gave to the Ukraine.
{...
The U.S. Congress has voted through five bills that have provided Ukraine with aid since the war began, doing so most recently in April 2024. The total budget authority under these bills—the “headline” figure often cited by news media—is $175 billion. The historic sums have helped a broad set of Ukrainian people and institutions, including refugees, law enforcement, and independent radio broadcasters, though most of the aid has been military-related. Dozens of other countries, including most members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and European Union (EU), are also providing large aid packages to Ukraine.
...}
 
"You miss the point, which is that it was the presence of Russian nukes in the Ukraine that caused the insecurity for the Ukraine." R5 #206
It's soooo dangerous to be armed. That's why so few citizens in the U.S. own a gun ?

"You miss the point, which is that it was the presence of Russian nukes in the Ukraine that caused the insecurity for the Ukraine." R5 #206
I've never seen a one-sided coin R5.
CERTAINLY there are risks to retaining custody of Soviet era nuclear missiles.
But if there's zero benefit to having nukes, why are they so popular? The U.S. has plenty, a nuclear triad of them.

I'm not dismissing your point.
Instead I'm observing that at the moment, Friday December 19, 2025 it's the counterpoint that seems to apply. The presence of Russian nukes in the Ukraine would be one more national defense option against Russia, to help promote the security of Ukraine.


Zelenskyy could have given Putin a deadline. ALL Russian military troops out of Ukraine before the deadline, or 1766175146144.png will be turned into 1766175219032.png .

Without nukes, that's a substantially less daunting threat.

"By having Russian nukes in the Ukraine, that meant the Ukraine would be targeted by the US, if anything happened." R5 #206
Seems to me Ukraine performed the differential calculation, and concluded Russia was a greater threat to Ukraine than the U.S.

"And these nuke were never possessed by the Ukraine.
The maintenance and launch crews were always only Russian, even after the USSR broke up." R5 #206
You distinguish between ownership and custody. I thought we'd already clarified that.

You continue to ignore the fact that while more easily said than done, it's nowhere near impossible to re-target Ukraine based Soviet nuclear missiles from the Pentagon to the Kremlin.

"There is no way the Ukraine could have reverse engineered these Russian nukes enough to be able to ever maintain them, much less launch them." R5 #206
Alone? Perhaps not.
But Ukraine could at least have solicited proposals from various others, less untrustworthy than Russia, to contract out such service.
Israel for example might have been delighted to offer to participate, in exchange for a share of Ukraine's yearly grain harvest.

"The treaty violations that amounted to acts of war by the ethnic Polish generals was well documented." R5 #206
Why do you keep redirecting discussion to this?
Have I ever disputed it?
You think if you continue to harp on it enough, somehow I'll believe it even harder?

I can't emphasize this enough. FINE !
What does that have to do with the fact that Russia / Putin has shifted from battlefield strategy to coercion of the civilian population, by interrupting basic Ukrainian services such as commercial electric power, and domestic running water?
 
It's soooo dangerous to be armed. That's why so few citizens in the U.S. own a gun ?


I've never seen a one-sided coin R5.
CERTAINLY there are risks to retaining custody of Soviet era nuclear missiles.
But if there's zero benefit to having nukes, why are they so popular? The U.S. has plenty, a nuclear triad of them.

I'm not dismissing your point.
Instead I'm observing that at the moment, Friday December 19, 2025 it's the counterpoint that seems to apply. The presence of Russian nukes in the Ukraine would be one more national defense option against Russia, to help promote the security of Ukraine.


Zelenskyy could have given Putin a deadline. ALL Russian military troops out of Ukraine before the deadline, or View attachment 3463 will be turned into View attachment 3464 .

Without nukes, that's a substantially less daunting threat.


Seems to me Ukraine performed the differential calculation, and concluded Russia was a greater threat to Ukraine than the U.S.


You distinguish between ownership and custody. I thought we'd already clarified that.

You continue to ignore the fact that while more easily said than done, it's nowhere near impossible to re-target Ukraine based Soviet nuclear missiles from the Pentagon to the Kremlin.


Alone? Perhaps not.
But Ukraine could at least have solicited proposals from various others, less untrustworthy than Russia, to contract out such service.
Israel for example might have been delighted to offer to participate, in exchange for a share of Ukraine's yearly grain harvest.


Why do you keep redirecting discussion to this?
Have I ever disputed it?
You think if you continue to harp on it enough, somehow I'll believe it even harder?

I can't emphasize this enough. FINE !
What does that have to do with the fact that Russia / Putin has shifted from battlefield strategy to coercion of the civilian population, by interrupting basic Ukrainian services such as commercial electric power, and domestic running water?

But the Ukraine was never allowed ownership or possession of any nuclear weapons.
Russia would never have trusted them by even allowing any Ukrainians into the facilities.
Nor could the Ukrainians have ever figured out how to reprogram them.
They likely use something similar to GPS, but they could be inertial gyroscope based instead, and it would all be top secret.

If you notice, the negotiations between Russia and the Ukraine were for Russia to remove them.
There is no way the Ukraine could have ever been allowed to even see them, much less touch them.
The sites were always under Russian occupation, and they likely would have a self destruct sequence if anyone else tried to enter the facilities.

As for "coercion of the civilian population", Russia NEVER did that.
The only thing close was retaliatory strikes AFTER the Ukraine hit several Russian power plants.
If Russia wanted to, they could have put the Ukraine into total darkness, without any water, the very first day.
 
"But the Ukraine was never allowed ownership or possession of any nuclear weapons." R5 #208
Not sure why you continue to squabble about "ownership".
This is a matter of single plane geometric simplicity.
In this regard it doesn't matter who OWNED them. What mattered is who POSSESSED them. That was Ukraine.

"As for "coercion of the civilian population", Russia NEVER did that." R5 #208
It continues to occur at this very moment.
On the morning of 26 August 2024, Russia fired more than 200 missiles and drones in one of its largest aerial attacks on Ukraine; the main targets were the country’s energy infrastructure. Around 8 million households lost power without warning; the capital, Kyiv, experienced its first unscheduled blackout since November 2022. Ukraine’s air defences provided some protection, but the scale of the attack and the resulting disruption highlighted once again the vital strategic importance of Ukraine’s energy sector, as well as the ever-present risks to the country’s energy supply.
https://www.iea.org/reports/ukraine...ng-winter/ukraines-energy-system-under-attack

"If Russia wanted to, they could have put the Ukraine into total darkness, without any water, the very first day." R5 #208
Got a link?
 
Not sure why you continue to squabble about "ownership".
This is a matter of single plane geometric simplicity.
In this regard it doesn't matter who OWNED them. What mattered is who POSSESSED them. That was Ukraine.


It continues to occur at this very moment.



Got a link?

No, there is no way Russia would have ever let anyone even see their nuclear arsenal.
The missile silos were in the Ukraine, but the Ukraine had zero possession, and were never allowed into the facilities.

If the Ukrainians had possession, then they would not have needed to negotiate with the Russians for their removal.

But yes, now the utilities are being hit, in retaliation for the Ukrainian strikes on Russian utilities.

Russia has ICBMs, drones, and high altitude bombers the Ukraine could not stop at the beginning.
Now they are better supplied.
But not at the beginning.
 
"No, there is no way Russia would have ever let anyone even see their nuclear arsenal.
The missile silos were in the Ukraine, but the Ukraine had zero possession, and were never allowed into the facilities." R5 #210
The end of the Cold War brought more change than merely relaxed Russian security of the Berlin Wall alone.
Certainly the Germany's re-unified.
But there were other affects. Wasn't Ukraine a Soviet republic during the Cold War?
And Ukraine went Western friendly because all Ukrainians are stupid?
They weren't interested in improving their standard of living to Western level, instead craving continued deprivations as the Cold War accustomed them to?

"But yes, now the utilities are being hit, in retaliation for the Ukrainian strikes on Russian utilities." R5 #210
I can't cite dates and locations, but from memory it seems to me Russians initiated the attacks on civilian infrastructure.

If Russia had a genuinely better deal to offer Ukraine, why roll the tanks?
Why not just leaflet Kyyiv, and inform Ukraine outright?

I don't recall having read a single word about it. But it appears to me what Russia offers Ukraine would benefit Russia to the detriment of Ukrainians.
And if that's not the reason Ukrainians continue to wage War in defense against Russia, then what is the reason?
 
The end of the Cold War brought more change than merely relaxed Russian security of the Berlin Wall alone.
Certainly the Germany's re-unified.
But there were other affects. Wasn't Ukraine a Soviet republic during the Cold War?
And Ukraine went Western friendly because all Ukrainians are stupid?
They weren't interested in improving their standard of living to Western level, instead craving continued deprivations as the Cold War accustomed them to?


I can't cite dates and locations, but from memory it seems to me Russians initiated the attacks on civilian infrastructure.

If Russia had a genuinely better deal to offer Ukraine, why roll the tanks?
Why not just leaflet Kyyiv, and inform Ukraine outright?

I don't recall having read a single word about it. But it appears to me what Russia offers Ukraine would benefit Russia to the detriment of Ukrainians.
And if that's not the reason Ukrainians continue to wage War in defense against Russia, then what is the reason?

The ethnic Polish Ukrainians in the western half of the Ukraine wanted to join NATO because they were being bribed and are racist and hate ethnic Russians.

Communism provided free housing, food, education, etc.
It is not the deprivation one assumes from the fact the pay is also low.

Offering a better deal would not have changed a thing.
The treaty violations by the ethnic Polish general were because that is what the bribes required.
We did not want the Ukraine to just switch to NATO and the EU, we wanted the war with Russia so we could make munitions profits, test our weapons against Russian weapons, and bankrupt Russia.
We would have kept finding more and more ways to force Russia into the war if they had not already done so.

People do not understand beyond the propaganda.
They see the west as being wealthy and prosperous, but they do not realize it is only the upper 5% that are wealthy, and the rest are poorer than they were under communism.

As for who started targeting infrastructure, it was the Ukrainians using US drones.
{...

Ukrainian drones hit a Russian 'shadow fleet' tanker in the Mediterranean Sea for the first time, security official says​

Ukrainian forces used long-range drones to strike an oil tanker said to be part of Russia's "shadow fleet" in the Mediterranean Sea for the first time, a security source told Business Insider on Friday.
The attack, carried out over 1,240 miles from Ukrainian territory, represents a dramatic expansion of Kyiv's push to target Russia's vast energy sector, a key source of revenue fueling its war machine.

Ukraine had previously limited its attacks to land-based targets, such as oil refineries and port infrastructure. In recent weeks, though, it has begun striking tankers in the Black Sea and facilities in the Caspian Sea — and now it's hitting targets in the Mediterranean.
...}
 
"The ethnic Polish Ukrainians in the western half of the Ukraine wanted to join NATO because they were being bribed and are racist and hate ethnic Russians." R5 #212
My reason for skepticism regarding your assertion quoted here has far less to do with what I've gleaned from reports of it over the years,
and more from my rudimentary professional decades long experience with applied statistics.
You're addressing a population of over one million, and attributing to this population one single explanation.

From personal experience I consider your explanation statistically unlikely.
I never made it to Berlin during the Cold War, but had friends that did.
I saw televised interviews of liberated Soviet prisoners / East Germans filtering over the Berlin Wall the day it fell.
Seems to me what attracted them was the superior standard of living. Why drive a Trabant, instead of an Opel?

Communism provided free housing, food, education, etc.
And worth every penny.
"Standard of living".
The Soviet's may indeed have been cheaper.
But Western style living seems more popular.

Reductio ad absurdum.
Many tried to breach the Berlin Wall. It wasn't Westerners craving the oppression and hardships the Soviets offered, crossing to the East.
It was mostly those oppressed by the Soviets seeking the benefits of superior standard of living in the West. Not all of them made it.

Similar story among the Koreas.
They're not crossing South to North. They're crossing North to South.
North Korean escapee numbers today are down considerably from their peak in the 2000s and early 2010s. At that time, over 2,000 people were arriving most years, after making the perilous journey across the border into China and on to a third country to request safe passage to South Korea.
There were so many escapees then that the South Korean government opened a dedicated resettlement and training centre where new arrivals were housed for several months before being released into society.
https://www.internationalaffairs.or...-south-korea-prove-a-better-life-is-possible/
This shouldn't surprise us.
The flood of immigrants from South to North at the U.S. / Mexico border is consistent with this.

Even within the U.S. we compete to live in the best neighborhoods, so our children can attend the best schools.
We leave neighborhoods near environmental dangers to the poor.
 
My reason for skepticism regarding your assertion quoted here has far less to do with what I've gleaned from reports of it over the years,
and more from my rudimentary professional decades long experience with applied statistics.
You're addressing a population of over one million, and attributing to this population one single explanation.

From personal experience I consider your explanation statistically unlikely.
I never made it to Berlin during the Cold War, but had friends that did.
I saw televised interviews of liberated Soviet prisoners / East Germans filtering over the Berlin Wall the day it fell.
Seems to me what attracted them was the superior standard of living. Why drive a Trabant, instead of an Opel?


And worth every penny.
"Standard of living".
The Soviet's may indeed have been cheaper.
But Western style living seems more popular.

Reductio ad absurdum.
Many tried to breach the Berlin Wall. It wasn't Westerners craving the oppression and hardships the Soviets offered, crossing to the East.
It was mostly those oppressed by the Soviets seeking the benefits of superior standard of living in the West. Not all of them made it.

Similar story among the Koreas.
They're not crossing South to North. They're crossing North to South.

This shouldn't surprise us.
The flood of immigrants from South to North at the U.S. / Mexico border is consistent with this.

Even within the U.S. we compete to live in the best neighborhoods, so our children can attend the best schools.
We leave neighborhoods near environmental dangers to the poor.

Think about the details.
Education is free in East Germany, so people do not have to pay hundreds of thousands for the training and license to become a medical doctor, for example.
But then in East Germany, doctors are paid about the same as everyone else, while in the west they could get paid 10 times that.
So the incentive to climb over the wall was not about freedoms, but about greed.
But it is illegal and actually theft for someone to accept free tuition with the intent of violating the contract to then work it off.

The fact Mexico has the exact same problem shows communism has nothing to do with it.
It is fact people are attracted to where the most wealth is, even if the wealth is accumulated by theft, colonial imperialism, installing dictators, etc.
Same reason so many emigrated to ancient Rome.
Its a matter of following the money.
 
"Think about the details.
Education is free in East Germany, so people do not have to pay hundreds of thousands for the training and license to become a medical doctor, for example." R5 #214
Economics at national / social level is complicated. Suffice it to say the Soviet bloc had a substantially different wealth distribution than the West.

"But then in East Germany, doctors are paid about the same as everyone else, while in the west they could get paid 10 times that." R5 #214
If there's a better model for a nation's economy than utilitarianism, the greatest good for the greatest number, I'd like to know about it.

"So the incentive to climb over the wall was not about freedoms, but about greed." R5 #214
Motives may cover a spectrum. And some among the Cold War refugees may have had more than one reason.

greed (grēd)
n.
An excessive desire to acquire or possess more than what one needs or deserves, especially with respect to material wealth
[Back-formation from GREEDY.]
The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fifth Edition copyright ©2022 by HarperCollins Publishers. All rights reserved.


The threshold for what is considered "greed" may be subjective.
When looking for a job, Bruce finds two openings each offering identical work in a retail store.
One employer offers $X, the other offers $2X.
Which should Bruce choose?

We can dismiss as "greed" choosing the superior job offer. If so, then most if not all humanity is greedy.

"But it is illegal and actually theft for someone to accept free tuition with the intent of violating the contract to then work it off." R5 #214
Potentially.
But if such students are being held captive in a totalitarian dictatorship, humanity is not without leniency in weighing what is "illegal".

"The fact Mexico has the exact same problem shows communism has nothing to do with it.
It is fact people are attracted to where the most wealth is, even if the wealth is accumulated by theft, colonial imperialism, installing dictators, etc." R5 #214
Perhaps.
Can you name a single dictatorship in human history, that provided higher per capita prosperity than the democracies that surrounded it?

YOU say they're attracted to wealth.
I suspect it's more likely that we're attracted to comfort, safety, security, so called "standard of living".
Dismiss this as greed?
How can it be greed if everyone does it? By definition greed is "excessive". The entire human race is "excessive"?

A useful metric may be healthcare.
If nation A & nation B provide identical standards of living, but nation B taxes more, to provide socialized healthcare, while nation A taxes less, leaving citizens to find their healthcare in open markets.

Turns out nation B obtains superior healthcare outcomes on a $ / capita basis, because healthcare administration and delivery are organized and coordinated at national level. "Economy of scale".

So Mr. R5: you'll work just as hard no matter which side of the fence you reside on. In which system would you prefer to live?

Perhaps we can demystify this by understanding what $money accomplishes.

Money not only ranks the value of labor. Money makes labor fungible. The most talented brain surgeon, and an entry-level fast food employee can ride the public bus. BUT !
It takes the entry-level worker longer to earn the cost of the bus fare than the surgeon.

"Same reason so many emigrated to ancient Rome.
Its a matter of following the money." R5 #214
Black and Decker manufactures and wholesales drill-bits.
BUT !
Do consumers that buy a 3/8" drill-bit want a 3/8" drill-bit? Or do they want 3/8" holes?

I suspect your observation is correct, migration tends to be toward where money is concentrated. BUT !
I'm not sure it's the money that attracts them, but instead what the money buys:
- safer streets
- more bars
- more bar & grills
- more liquor stores
OK, a little bit kidding there ...

or am I ???
 
Economics at national / social level is complicated. Suffice it to say the Soviet bloc had a substantially different wealth distribution than the West.


If there's a better model for a nation's economy than utilitarianism, the greatest good for the greatest number, I'd like to know about it.


Motives may cover a spectrum. And some among the Cold War refugees may have had more than one reason.

greed (grēd)
n.
An excessive desire to acquire or possess more than what one needs or deserves, especially with respect to material wealth
[Back-formation from GREEDY.]
The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fifth Edition copyright ©2022 by HarperCollins Publishers. All rights reserved.


The threshold for what is considered "greed" may be subjective.
When looking for a job, Bruce finds two openings each offering identical work in a retail store.
One employer offers $X, the other offers $2X.
Which should Bruce choose?

We can dismiss as "greed" choosing the superior job offer. If so, then most if not all humanity is greedy.


Potentially.
But if such students are being held captive in a totalitarian dictatorship, humanity is not without leniency in weighing what is "illegal".


Perhaps.
Can you name a single dictatorship in human history, that provided higher per capita prosperity than the democracies that surrounded it?

YOU say they're attracted to wealth.
I suspect it's more likely that we're attracted to comfort, safety, security, so called "standard of living".
Dismiss this as greed?
How can it be greed if everyone does it? By definition greed is "excessive". The entire human race is "excessive"?

A useful metric may be healthcare.
If nation A & nation B provide identical standards of living, but nation B taxes more, to provide socialized healthcare, while nation A taxes less, leaving citizens to find their healthcare in open markets.

Turns out nation B obtains superior healthcare outcomes on a $ / capita basis, because healthcare administration and delivery are organized and coordinated at national level. "Economy of scale".

So Mr. R5: you'll work just as hard no matter which side of the fence you reside on. In which system would you prefer to live?

Perhaps we can demystify this by understanding what $money accomplishes.

Money not only ranks the value of labor. Money makes labor fungible. The most talented brain surgeon, and an entry-level fast food employee can ride the public bus. BUT !
It takes the entry-level worker longer to earn the cost of the bus fare than the surgeon.


Black and Decker manufactures and wholesales drill-bits.
BUT !
Do consumers that buy a 3/8" drill-bit want a 3/8" drill-bit? Or do they want 3/8" holes?

I suspect your observation is correct, migration tends to be toward where money is concentrated. BUT !
I'm not sure it's the money that attracts them, but instead what the money buys:
- safer streets
- more bars
- more bar & grills
- more liquor stores
OK, a little bit kidding there ...

or am I ???

You asked, "Can you name a single dictatorship in human history, that provided higher per capita prosperity than the democracies that surrounded it?"
And that is easy.
All dictatorships always provide a much higher per capital prosperity than any democracy.
That is because most people are not that greedy and prefer simply to not work that hard, and instead enjoy free time.
In a dictatorship, you do not get to choose, but instead are forced to produce for those above you who want more.
The fact this prosperity is not shared with those who produce it, does not change this greater total amount of prosperity.

Those who climbed the Berlin wall for higher pay, were violating contracts they signed in order to get free rent, tuition, food, etc.
The poor people were not leaving and those who did were not being honest or fair.

To compare economic systems, one could look at automotive salvage yards.
I see lots of vehicles less than 10 years old in the junk yards in the US, because they are almost impossible to keep running.
After a decade, they start throwing codes that are essentially impossible to fix, such as the OBDII code, P0141 that claims there is a problem with the O2 sensor heater.
I have attached test leads and can see the heater is being activated and later turns off, exactly as it should.
There is nothing wrong, but still it won't let me pass the emissions test.
In comparison, the 1957 Trabant of East Germany is vastly superior, with a rustproof galvanized frame and plastic body, that gets over 40 mpg.
If you wonder what a Trabant looks like, it was the flying car in the "Harry Potter" movie.
To people who actually know the technical details, the goods made and sold in the US are actually awful.

Here is another comparison.
I early on noticed the continual increase in value from real estate.
It doubles in value about every 10 years.
By purchasing in redlined areas you can buy properties without even any money down, if you just have a good enough credit rating.
And then the tenant pays the mortgage actually, giving you a free property.
I have done that over 11 times.
But its totally unfair.
On top of that, I get to depreciate and other tax write off reducing my income tax to almost nothing, while renters do not get any write off, even though obviously rent should be part of the cost of doing business.

Do those example give you any ideas?
 
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"You asked, "Can you name a single dictatorship in human history, that provided higher per capita prosperity than the democracies that surrounded it?"
And that is easy.
All dictatorships always provide a much higher per capital prosperity than any democracy." R5 #216 red emphasis sear's
We'll sidestep your terminology "per capital prosperity". The term I used:
- per capita prosperity,
per capita, Medieval Latin: by heads. I didn't mean the opulence in Pyongyang, or lavish accommodation of the Soviet politburo.
Mine refers to standard of living within the general population. My impression after encountering accounts from there over a period of human generations, the standard of living is preferable in the West, North Korea a Hell hole. For more info: North Korean prison camp #14 escapee Shin Dong-hyuk

R5, both time and money have directionality.
Time doesn't go backward.
And if one has money but wishes to do without, fine. BUT
anyone without money that wishes wealth goes wanting.
In the West we can confine our economic footprint to that of a socially comparable North Korean. They have no reciprocal opportunity. So I believe:
"All dictatorships always provide a much higher per capital prosperity than any democracy." R5 #216
The numerical quantifications settle that issue.
Compare the GDP of North Korea against the GDP of South Korea.

Yours may not be merely a minority view, but a unique view.
You don't seem to believe your own position, for if you did you're resourceful enough to infiltrate North Korea,
and enjoy your totalitarian paradise "not work that hard, and instead enjoy free time." Doing what? Playing Pong on a CRT?

I early on noticed the continual increase in value from real estate.
It doubles in value about every 10 years.
By purchasing in redlined areas you can buy properties without even any money down, if you just have a good enough credit rating.
And then the tenant pays the mortgage actually, giving you a free property.
I have done that over 11 times.
But its totally unfair.
On top of that, I get to depreciate and other tax write off reducing my income tax to almost nothing, while renters do not get any write off, even though obviously rent should be part of the cost of doing business.

Do those example give you any ideas?
It's the unseemly underbelly of U.S. federal legislation.
Major economic entities in the U.S. can afford to fund political campaigns of candidates amenable to legislation that supports their own campaign donors.
The result, lobbyist organizations ghost-write legislation to their own advantage. The rich get richer, the poor get kids.
 
We'll sidestep your terminology "per capital prosperity". The term I used:
- per capita prosperity,
per capita, Medieval Latin: by heads. I didn't mean the opulence in Pyongyang, or lavish accommodation of the Soviet politburo.
Mine refers to standard of living within the general population. My impression after encountering accounts from there over a period of human generations, the standard of living is preferable in the West, North Korea a Hell hole. For more info: North Korean prison camp #14 escapee Shin Dong-hyuk

R5, both time and money have directionality.
Time doesn't go backward.
And if one has money but wishes to do without, fine. BUT
anyone without money that wishes wealth goes wanting.
In the West we can confine our economic footprint to that of a socially comparable North Korean. They have no reciprocal opportunity. So I believe:

The numerical quantifications settle that issue.
Compare the GDP of North Korea against the GDP of South Korea.

Yours may not be merely a minority view, but a unique view.
You don't seem to believe your own position, for if you did you're resourceful enough to infiltrate North Korea,
and enjoy your totalitarian paradise "not work that hard, and instead enjoy free time." Doing what? Playing Pong on a CRT?


It's the unseemly underbelly of U.S. federal legislation.
Major economic entities in the U.S. can afford to fund political campaigns of candidates amenable to legislation that supports their own campaign donors.
The result, lobbyist organizations ghost-write legislation to their own advantage. The rich get richer, the poor get kids.

There would be no incentive for dictatorships, slavery, etc., if they did not force people to be more productive than they would otherwise choose to be.
The work camps in Germany during WWII for example, produced 14 hours a day instead of the typical 8 hours a day of a normal free society.
Dictatorships are always vastly more productive per person.

The one thing they are not is more innovative, since there is no incentive to improve things you do not personally profit from.
The problem of dictatorships is this lack of incentive can cause gross mistakes to not be corrected.
Like Lysenkoism was so harmful to farming in Russia.

I don't know enough about Korea to compare north and south, but I do know the north is much colder and has bad soil for agriculture.
And it was the south who was the worst dictatorship until 1987 when they finally started to first allow real elections.
Back when the Korean war started, we had installed Syngman Rhee as the leader of South Korea, and his reign of terror and murder was notoriously bad.
https://historyguild.org/south-kore...gju-uprising-to-the-june-democratic-struggle/
 
"There would be no incentive for dictatorships, slavery, etc., if they did not force people to be more productive than they would otherwise choose to be." R5 #218
Slavery is theft of labor.

"The work camps in Germany during WWII for example, produced 14 hours a day instead of the typical 8 hours a day of a normal free society.
Dictatorships are always vastly more productive per person." R5 #218
"Vastly more" by what quantifiable criterion? Hours worked? Splendid.
But that doesn't mean they can out-compete Western production.
Ten North Korean peasants each with their own hand hoe can work diligently 14 hours a day to dig a trench.
But they won't move as much Earth as one Western equipment operator in a track-hoe.

1766332589493.png vs 1766332660639.png

R5,
It's anecdotal. I haven't corroborated. Yet I've read there are more transistors on Earth today than there are leaves on trees.
We didn't achieve that by forcing workers with solder guns to work more O.T.
We made productivity gains by process improvements which render each worker more efficient.

Reductio ad absurdum:
The benefit to the commercialized West of Cold War was, we didn't have to use the arms we churned out very much. Instead, we had to churn out enough to discourage military aggression from the Kremlin.
It worked.
The U.S. / West spent the Soviets into oblivion. Though the Soviets devoted a higher %GDP to military (leaving less for civilian Soviet standard of living), Western economies had free market advantages, rather than the handicap of politburo central planning.
We drove Ford, VW, Toyota, Datsun, & Cadillac,
they drove Trabant.
We ate Big Macs. They ate potato.

"The problem of dictatorships is this lack of incentive can cause gross mistakes to not be corrected." R5 #218
They may lack market incentive. But a ruthless dictator can simply decree:
improve this design or you will be tortured to death.

It wouldn't matter.
Our regulated markets reward innovation.
It would have cost $Billions for one wealthy man to fund cell-phone development.
The genius of our economy is, it still cost $Billions. BUT !!
That cost was distributed among hundreds of millions of willing cell-phone purchasers.
Thus currently available: iPhone 17 Pro Max. The Soviets could not compete & win.

Well worth noting, China's politburo is more streamlined, and apparently substantially more s a v v y ,
thus a greater challenge, a more formidable competitor.
 
Slavery is theft of labor.


"Vastly more" by what quantifiable criterion? Hours worked? Splendid.
But that doesn't mean they can out-compete Western production.
Ten North Korean peasants each with their own hand hoe can work diligently 14 hours a day to dig a trench.
But they won't move as much Earth as one Western equipment operator in a track-hoe.

View attachment 3481 vs View attachment 3482

R5,
It's anecdotal. I haven't corroborated. Yet I've read there are more transistors on Earth today than there are leaves on trees.
We didn't achieve that by forcing workers with solder guns to work more O.T.
We made productivity gains by process improvements which render each worker more efficient.

Reductio ad absurdum:
The benefit to the commercialized West of Cold War was, we didn't have to use the arms we churned out very much. Instead, we had to churn out enough to discourage military aggression from the Kremlin.
It worked.
The U.S. / West spent the Soviets into oblivion. Though the Soviets devoted a higher %GDP to military (leaving less for civilian Soviet standard of living), Western economies had free market advantages, rather than the handicap of politburo central planning.
We drove Ford, VW, Toyota, Datsun, & Cadillac,
they drove Trabant.
We ate Big Macs. They ate potato.


They may lack market incentive. But a ruthless dictator can simply decree:
improve this design or you will be tortured to death.

It wouldn't matter.
Our regulated markets reward innovation.
It would have cost $Billions for one wealthy man to fund cell-phone development.
The genius of our economy is, it still cost $Billions. BUT !!
That cost was distributed among hundreds of millions of willing cell-phone purchasers.
Thus currently available: iPhone 17 Pro Max. The Soviets could not compete & win.

Well worth noting, China's politburo is more streamlined, and apparently substantially more s a v v y ,
thus a greater challenge, a more formidable competitor.

Except that the least expensive and most popular backhoes are made in Asia.
Same with almost all the transistors.

Its true we spent the USSR into bankruptcy, but that is not a good thing.
The USSR was never aggressive, and spent less than 10% of their national budget on the military.
In contrast, we spend over 60% of our discretionary budget on our incredibly offensive military.
And that is not including things like VA and GIBill that actually are from the military.
For example, no one needs aircraft carriers for defense.
So Russia only has one, while we have about 50 traditional aircraft carriers and slightly small amphibious assault aircraft launching ships.
The US routinely installs puppet dictators all over the world, like Batista in Cuba, Samosa in Nicaragua, the Shah in Iran, Diem in Vietnam, Syngman Rhee in Korea, Pinochet in Chile, etc.
We are not doing that for defense, but for profits.
And we bankrupt the USSR with SDI, which was the most unethical act of all, weaponizing space.

The reality is about the only military aggression by the USSR was in Finland.
Their efforts in Afghanistan actually were to increase personal freedoms there, by countering corrupt warlords who used religion to suppress freedom.
 
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