Anthropogenic Global Warming ... how hot is it ?

A La Niña pattern is expected next, which might slow global heating but supercharge Atlantic hurricane season. The latest El Niño global climate pattern is officially over, ending a year-long episode in which its planet-warming influence helped blast ocean and air temperatures far into record-setting territory.

El Niño has ended. Here’s what that means for a streak of record heat.

A La Niña pattern is expected next, which might slow global heating but supercharge Atlantic hurricane season.

 
Virtually any status quo has its constituency.
In terms of AGW the status quo includes big oil, and its numerous addicts.

Some on the Titanic resisted change, & chose to remain aboard. Those that think the Carbon based status quo remains the best choice may face similar fate.
The risk, they may take the rest of us with them.
 
“The debate between science and religion ended when churches put lightning rods on their steeples.” shiftless2

Associated Press ASSOCIATED PRESS

It was meant to be a Christian utopia. Now this Nigerian community is helpless against rising seas

TAIWO ADEBAYO and DAN AKPOYI / Sun, June 23, 2024 at 12:04 AM EDT

Nigeria Unhappy City Erosion

AYETORO, Nigeria (AP) — The coastal Nigerian community of Ayetoro was founded decades ago and nicknamed “Happy City,” meant to be a Christian utopia that would be sinless and classless. But now its remaining residents can do little against the rising sea.

Buildings have sunk into the Atlantic Ocean, an increasingly common image along the vulnerable West African coast. Old timber pokes from the waves like rotten teeth. Shattered foundations line the shore. Waves break against abandoned electrical poles.

For years, low-lying nations have warned the world about the existential threat of rising seas. Nigeria, Africa's most populous country, struggles to respond. Some plans to address shoreline protection, even for Ayetoro, have come to nothing in a nation where corruption and mismanagement is widespread.

 

CDC issues Dengue Fever alert in the U.S.​

This year, the incidence of dengue fever globally has been the highest on record, as nations report increasingly hot temperatures — ideal for mosquitoes that spread dengue to hatch.


note:
Deet has been regarded one of the more effective mosquito repellents available. BUT !
Deet is an industrial solvent. Doctors recommend against applying deet directly to the skin of young children.

Care should also be exercised when applying it to clothing with synthetic fiber content, as deet may dissolve them.
Applying deet directly to pure cotton may merely discolor the cotton, but alternative repellent protocol may be preferable.
 
AFP

As ice melts, Everest's 'death zone' gives up its ghosts​

Paavan MATHEMA / Wed, June 26, 2024 at 11:28 PM EDT
More than 300 people have died on Everest since the 1920s, eight this climbing season alone (Prakash MATHEMA)
On Everest's sacred slopes, climate change is thinning snow and ice, increasingly exposing the bodies of hundreds of mountaineers who died chasing their dream to summit the world's highest mountain.

 

Allstate in midst of requesting 34% insurance rate hike

SUSAN WOOD
THE NORTH BAY BUSINESS JOURNAL

Allstate has asked the state to approve an average 34.1% homeowners insurance rate hike for this year, the Department of Insurance confirmed Thursday .

The rate hike request, filed in April 2023, was initially for 39.6%. But Consumer Watchdog, a Santa Monica-based consumer advocacy group, petitioned to intervene. Allstate lowered the request this past January by over 5 percentage points, the state insurance office reported.

In a prepared statement, Allstate noted its efforts to help Californians recover “from accidents and disasters have increased significantly in recent years due to higher repair costs, more frequent and severe weather and legal system abuse.”

The filing change comes on the heels of several rate increase requests from other insurers in the last year. State Farm, California’s largest insurer, received approval earlier this year from the Department of Insurance for a 20% increase. Now it awaits approval on another 30% hike.

The state is likely to approve many of the rate hike requests as it attempts to ....

 
insurance #186
snicker @ sear
To the layman / HS grad, this focus on insurance may present the impression of excessive materialism, as if what matters is property, $money.
A broader understanding reveals it's a government regulated insight into the quantification of the affects of G.W.

personal note:
240719a.JPG
We had a blow in Central NY, some commercial power customers East of Syracuse
without, for days.
Tornadoes are rare in New York State.
Maybe there's something to this global warming thing after all?
 
The primary reason I've been focusing on insurance is simple - I'm an actuary and am a regular reader of any number of insurance boards/newsletters. And in many places insurance rates are going up because of increased risks due to climate change. And insurers and reinsurers pay a lot of attention to that.
 
I think it's a dandy metric.

And lookit the ratio for this topic:

Replies 187
Views 3K

S2 obviously has quite a following, on this topic, among others.

Oh & btw:
AGW is on the list of greatest threats to humanity. I haven't done the math, but it may be on par with nuclear war. Or worse?

Bonus Annoyance:
Another pic from the recent twister in CNY.

240719b.JPG

"Federal"?
You better noooooot !

What an absolute delight it is to live in jerk-water America! [where the United States Constitution is mere rumor]
 

Melting ice is slowing Earth's spin, shifting its axis and even influencing its inner core, research shows​

Two new studies suggest human behavior has changed foundational elements of the planet’s physical properties.

July 16, 2024, 5:48 PM GMT-5
By Evan Bush
Climate change is altering the Earth to its literal core, new research suggests.
As polar and glacial ice melts because of global warming, water that was once concentrated at the top and the bottom of the globe is getting redistributed toward the equator. The extra mass around Earth’s middle slows its rotation, which in turn has a lengthening effect on our days.

A new study offers more evidence of that dynamic and further suggests that changes to the planet’s ice have been profound enough to affect the Earth’s axis — the invisible line at its center around which it rotates. Together, those shifts are causing feedback beneath the surface, affecting the fluids that move around in Earth’s molten core.

more grim news about Mom Earth @ NBC, the bad news network: https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/melting-ice-shifting-earth-spin-axis-core-rcna162089

The good news is, with longer days, we won't live as long. - yea -
 

Data shows hurricanes and earthquakes grab headlines but inland counties top disaster list​

BY SETH BORENSTEIN / Updated Tue, July 23, 2024 at 8:17 AM EDT·6

FILE - Buildings and homes are flooded in the aftermath of Hurricane Laura near Lake Charles, La., on Aug. 27, 2020. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip, File)


Climate Disaster Hot Spots
FILE - Buildings and homes are flooded in the aftermath of Hurricane Laura near Lake Charles, La., on Aug. 27, 2020. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip, File)
ASSOCIATED PRESS
Floyd County keeps flooding and the federal government keeps coming to the rescue.


I understand. The disaster victims need help. BUT !
Rescuing lowlanders from the inevitable is enabling them to continue to endanger themselves, at taxpayer's expense.

Think dust bowl boys.
 

Despite sizable cuts to emissions, U.S. still far off track to hit its goals, report finds​

The U.S. aims to reduce emissions by at least 50% by 2030. But a new report estimates that the actual reduction will be less than that: 32% to 43%.
July 23, 2024, 4:00 AM GMT-5 / By Evan Bush

The U.S. is making deep cuts in its greenhouse gas emissions as clean energy booms — but not enough to hit the target it set under the Paris Climate Agreement, according to a new analysis from Rhodium, a research company that tracks U.S. progress toward its climate goals.
Under the agreement, in which 194 countries pledged to limit global average rises in temperature to well below 2 degrees Celsius, the U.S. set a goal of reducing its emissions by at least 50% below 2005 levels by 2030. The Rhodium report projects U.S. greenhouse gas emissions will fall 32% to 43% below that threshold by 2030 and 38% to 56% five years later.
The report suggests that clean energy investment is accelerating rapidly, that economic growth no longer depends on fossil fuels and that President Joe Biden’s two climate initiatives — the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act — are helping push the pace of electrification.

But there are headwinds, as well: Power-hogging data centers have begun to push electricity demand higher, the Supreme Court recently issued a ruling that undermined federal regulatory power, and Democrats and Republicans are pushing radically different climate agendas as the election looms.
The U.S. set records last year for adding solar power and clean energy storage to the grid, the report says. Ben King, an associate director with the Rhodium Group’s energy and climate practice, said history is likely to remember the past few years as an “inflection point” in climate policy.
“This is where clean energy went mainstream,” King said. “It’s real business. It’s not your hippie neighbor with solar panels on the roof.”
However, the energy transition remains far too slow to reach U.S. emissions goals without new policy measures. The report assumes the pace will quicken, but to hit the upper end of Rhodium’s predictions for potential emissions reduction (43% by 2030), the rate of added clean energy capacity would need to increase several times over.
King said the renewable energy industry faces barriers that need to be smoothed out to get new projects built and operating more quickly.

 
Climate
Monday breaks the record for the hottest ever day on Earth
By SIBI ARASU and SETH BORENSTEIN / Updated 9:04 AM GMT-5, July 24, 2024
Monday was recorded as the hottest day ever globally, beating a record set the day before, as countries around the world from Japan to Bolivia to the United States continue to feel the heat, according to the European climate change service.

 

2024 Paris Olympics highlight climate change's growing threat to athletes

Dinah Voyles Pulver

As the Paris Olympics get underway, rising global temperatures loom large, just as they have for Games over the past decade in Beijing, Tokyo, Pyeongchang and Sochi.

Finding Olympic venues cold enough for winter events and not too warm for summer events increasingly challenges the International Olympic Committee and would-be hosts. Sweltering temperatures in recent world competitions raised serious health and safety concerns for athletes. They also sparked questions about whether the summer Games could one day become the fall or spring Games instead.

“It’s extremely noticeable how much hotter it’s gotten and how much more difficult that makes training,” said Samuel Mattis, a discus thrower on Team USA’s track and field team, who has 15 years in the sport.

Going into the Games in France, athletes and officials alike feared the country could experience a repeat of ...

 
Not sure it quite passes for comic relief, but reportedly the biggest wildfire in the U.S. right now was started by a guy that sent his own Mom's flaming car down an incline into vegetation. Guess who's not getting desert tonight !
 
And from Nevada

Amid wildfires, Nevada faces 'extremely concerning' insurance crisis. An alarming number of home insurance carriers are denying new applications in Nevada — a clear indicator that the Silver State is facing a growing crisis as climate change elevates wildfire risk, state officials said

And it's not just new applications - the number of policies that were cancelled of non-renewed has increased by some 80%.
 
Natural disasters led to $62 billion dollars in global insured losses in the first half of 2024, significantly higher than the 10-year average of $37 billion, according to a Munich Re report.

 
Earlier today I was skimming headlines.
There's lots of weather related news.
What has my attention is, global averages used to seem to prevail more. A particularly harsh Winter in Siberia might mean a mild Winter in Canada.

But the headlines this AM included reports of floods, a storm churning Northeast from the Gulf, etc.

The stats probably provide the most objective impression.
 
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